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护理学报 ›› 2024, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (24): 51-56.doi: 10.16460/j.issn1008-9969.2024.24.051

• 循证护理 • 上一篇    下一篇

髋部骨折患者术后30天死亡风险预测模型的范围综述

王月1a, 刘国庆2, 牛聪影1b, 张振伟1c, 孙建1d, 褚友艾1a, 秦寒枝1c   

  1. 1.中国科学技术大学附属第一医院 a.骨科; b.神经内科; c. 护理部; d. 急诊ICU, 安徽 合肥 230001;
    2.天津市第一中心医院 胃肠外科, 天津 300380
  • 收稿日期:2024-04-23 出版日期:2024-12-25 发布日期:2025-01-09
  • 通讯作者: 秦寒枝（1973-）,女,安徽合肥人,本科学历,副主任护师,硕士研究生导师。E-mail：qinhanzhi@163.com
  • 作者简介:王月（1996-）,女,安徽合肥人,硕士,护士。

Risk prediction models of 30-day mortality after surgery in patients with hip fractures: a scoping review

WANG Yue1a, LIU Guo-qing2, NIU Cong-ying1b, ZHANG Zhen-wei1c, SUN Jian1d, CHU You-ai1a, QIN Han-zhi1c   

  1. 1a. Dept. of Orthopedics; 1b. Dept. of Neurology; 1c. Dept. of Nursing Administration; 1d. Dept. of Emergency ICU, the First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Hefei 230036, China;
    2. Dept. of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Tianjin First Central Hospital, Tianjin 300380, China
  • Received:2024-04-23 Online:2024-12-25 Published:2025-01-09

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摘要： 目的 对髋部骨折患者术后30 d死亡风险预测模型进行范围综述,为临床护理实践及研究提供借鉴。方法 聚焦髋部骨折患者术后30 d死亡风险预测模型,系统检索PubMed、Embase、Web of Science、中国知网、万方数据库、中国生物医学文献数据库及维普中文期刊服务平台等,筛选相关中英文文献,提取数据。结果 共纳入21篇文献,髋部骨折患者术后30 d死亡率高达4.73%~33.76%,模型的总体预测效能良好,但整体偏倚风险较高。结论 髋部骨折患者术后30 d死亡风险预测模型研究处于发展阶段,未来以期开发和/或验证低偏倚风险和高适应性的预测模型,指导临床实践。

关键词: 髋部骨折, 死亡风险, 预测模型, 范围综述

Abstract: Objective To conduct a scoping review of models for predicting the risk of 30-day mortality after surgery in patients with hip fractures and providing reference for clinical nursing practice and research. Methods Focusing on the risk prediction models for 30-day mortality after surgery in patients with hip fractures, we systematically searched and screened relevant Chinese and English literature in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data, SinoMed, VIP, etc., and extracted the data. Results A total of 21 articles were collected, and 30-day mortality after surgery in patients with hip fractures ranged from 4.73% to 33.76%. The overall prediction efficiency of the model was good, but the overall bias risk was high. Conclusion The research on risk prediction models for 30-day mortality after surgery in patients with hip fractures is in the development stage. In the future, it is expected to develop and/or verify the prediction model with low bias risk and high adaptability to guide clinical practice.

Key words: hip fractures, death risk, predictive models, scoping review

中图分类号: 

  • R473.6
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